Wednesday, September 22, 2010

Introducing VOJ, and the Sabermetrics of Sitcoms Part 2

*WARNING: THIS IS PART TWO OF A FOUR PART POST. FOR PART ONE, CLICK HERE. A LINK TO THE NEXT PART WILL APPEAR AT THE END OF THIS ONE*

The next statistic is an episode-independent statistic, for a per episode basis. It is called PER, like John Hollinger's PER (player efficiency ratings) which values each NBA player on what they are worth for a minute. Sitcom PER rates what a sitcom is worth for a single episode. It is calculated the same way as VOJ, but instead of adding # of Episodes and Avg. # of Episodes to Viewership and Avg. Viewership, only the viewing numbers are used. Under this formula, the replacement level show is Rodney, an ABC series from 2004-06. The list:

Show
PER
PER Rk.
Friends
3.800090038
1
Everybody Loves Raymond
2.661695384
2
Leap of Faith
2.242307692
3
Two and a Half Men*
2.241111794
4
Frasier
2.21501923
5
Will & Grace
2.12525641
6
Becker
1.991901153
7
The Weber Show
1.933333333
8
King of Queens
1.840003846
9
Dharma & Greg
1.727528205
10
Spin City
1.667134615
11
Just Shoot Me
1.6544
12
My Big Fat Greek Life
1.645076923
13
Yes Dear
1.645028846
14
Out of Practice
1.621025641
15
Coupling
1.586217948
16
Malcolm in the Middle
1.563311538
17
Still Standing
1.55281923
18
That 70's Show
1.506113618
19
Good Morning Miami
1.487115384
20
Courting Alex
1.478974359
21
Samantha Who?
1.461025641
22
Rules of Engagement*
1.453846153
23
Crumbs
1.44
24
Big Bang Theory*
1.426470085
25
8 Simple Rules
1.415742307
26
New Adventures of Old Christine
1.400807692
27
Modern Family*
1.396217948
28
How I Met Your Mother*
1.3838
29
My Wife and Kids
1.364236923
30
The Geena Davis Show
1.360128205
31
Listen Up!
1.292307692
32
The Office*
1.268854648
33
Hidden Hills
1.267948718
34
DAG
1.266666666
35
Romantically Challenged
1.263730769
36
3rd Rock from the Sun
1.243242
37
Scrubs
1.24291282
38
My Name is Earl
1.235666666
39
Center of the Universe
1.234615384
40
Drew Carey Show
1.228620461
41
Joey
1.225384615
42
Worst Week
1.209615384
43
Bette
1.207179487
44
Bram and Alice
1.204307692
45
According to Jim
1.197572115
46
Life on a Stick
1.179487179
47
Titus
1.159358974
48
Watching Ellie
1.159166666
49
Life with Bonnie
1.149333333
50
George Lopez
1.146073077
51
The Class
1.141538461
52
Help Me Help You
1.141538461
53
Grounded for Life
1.137606743
54
Normal, Ohio
1.133333333
55
It's All Relative
1.108410256
56
Michael Richards Show
1.103846154
57
Two Guys and a Girl
1.078
58
Hope & Faith
1.070901709
59
Bob Patterson
1.069615384
60
A.U.S.A.
1.069230769
61
What About Joan
1.066666666
62
Undeclared
1.060371795
63
Welcome to New York
1.06
64
Wanda at Large
1.050076923
65
I'm with Her
1.041923077
66
Accidentally on Purpose
1.031467236
67
Bernie Mac Show
1.0296
68
30 Rock*
1.028923077
69
Cedric the Entertainer Presents
1.027846154
70
Happy Family
1.013333333
71
Whoopi
1.010192307
72
Stacked
1.008269231
73
The Stones
1.002223077
74
Rodney
1
75
Cougar Town*
0.988076923
76
Oliver Beene
0.986692307
77
Lost at Home
0.983782051
78
Four Kings
0.967692307
79
The Pitts
0.957692307
80
Less than Perfect
0.951282051
81
Andy Richter Controls the Universe
0.950769231
82
Back to You
0.947461538
83
The Middle*
0.928846154
84
Freddie
0.924102564
85
Three Sisters
0.923076923
86
In-Laws
0.921948718
87
Emeril
0.906666666
88
Gary Unmarried
0.905576923
89
Daddio
0.897948718
90
The Ellen Show
0.891666666
91
Arrested Development
0.887747007
92
Welcome to the Captain
0.880384615
93
Hank
0.877423077
94
Married to the Kellys
0.861538461
95
Committed
0.858974359
96
Tucker
0.85
97
Cavemen
0.846153846
98
Emily's Reasons Why Not
0.831923077
99
Madigan Men
0.823846154
100
Free Ride
0.82051282
101
Miss Guided
0.802175077
102
The Trouble with Normal
0.792307692
103
The War at Home
0.791153846
104
The Winner
0.789871795
105
Complete Savages
0.782051282
106
The Tracy Morgan Show
0.769858974
107
Twenty Good Years
0.761025641
108
A Minute with Stan Hooper
0.76
109
Jake in Progress
0.733333333
110
The Big House
0.732051282
111
Community*
0.724358974
112
Hot Properties
0.72025641
113
Parks and Recreation*
0.714358974
114
Carpoolers
0.706666666
115
Andy Barker P.I.
0.706153846
116
Teachers
0.693076923
117
Notes from the Underbelly
0.69275641
118
Kath & Kim
0.689067949
119
Surviving Suburbia
0.683312564
120
Quintuplets
0.68
121
Danny
0.660384615
122
Knights of Prosperity
0.653846154
123
In Case of Emergency
0.652307692
124
In the Motherhood
0.636730769
125
Sons & Daughters
0.628205128
126
The Tick
0.588461538
127
Inside Schwartz
0.576923077
128
Unhitched
0.576
129
Cracking Up
0.557333333
130
Scrubs 2.0
0.555866667
131
Til Death
0.528205128
132
Kitchen Confidential
0.501794872
133
Happy Hour
0.5
134
Better Off Ted
0.447272436
135
Luis
0.442846154
136
Return of Jezebel James
0.415410256
137
Brothers
0.398768
138
The Loop
0.398717949
139
Sons of Tucson
0.293833333
140
Method & Red
0.282051282
141
100 Questions
0.273717949
142

I prefer the first rating system for a number of reasons. First- under PER more than half of the sitcoms rank as "above replacement level." This is just not true. Second- PER inflates series that last very few episodes. The 11 shows with the biggest jumps from VOJ to PER (Coupling, Crumbs, Romantically Challenged, My Big Fat Greek Life, Leap of Faith, Bram and Alice, Courting Alex, Life on a Stick, Bob Patterson, The Stones, and Normal, Ohio) all lasted no more than 8 episodes. Premieres often get strong ratings- they are widely promoted and typically aired after popular shows. With few total episodes, these series do not have time for a ratings drop, and their average viewership is therefore sometimes higher than successful sitcoms, like big droppers 30 Rock, George Lopez, and Scrubs.

Continue to Part 3

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