2012 NFL Picks- Week 3

All picks are to win, spread irrelevant. I starred my eliminator pick in my pool. I'm already 0-1 this week after picking the Giants, and 20-13 for the season. Home teams in CAPS. 

BEARS over Rams
Bills over BROWNS
COWBOYS over Buccaneers
Jets over DOLPHINS
49ers over VIKINGS
*SAINTS over Chiefs*
REDSKINS over Bengals
Lions over TITANS
COLTS over Jaguars
CARDINALS over Eagles
Falcons over CHARGERS
Texans over BRONCOS
Steelers over RAIDERS
RAVENS over Patriots
Packers over SEAHAWKS

2012 NFL Picks- Week 2

All picks are to win, spread irrelevant. I starred my eliminator pick in my pool. I'm already 1-0 this week after picking the Packers, and 13-4 for the season. Home teams in CAPS.

BILLS over Chiefs
BENGALS over Browns
Vikings over COLTS
Raiders over DOLPHINS
PATRIOTS over Cardinals
*GIANTS over Buccaneers*
Ravens over EAGLES
Saints over PANTHERS
Texans over JAGUARS
Jets over STEELERS
Redskins over RAMS
SEAHAWKS over Cowboys
CHARGERS over Titans
49ERS over Lions
Broncos over FALCONS

2012 NFL Picks- Week 1

All picks are to win, spread irrelevant. I starred my eliminator pick in my pool. I'm already 0-1 after picking the Giants. Home teams in CAPS.

JETS over Bills
BEARS over Colts
Eagles over BROWNS
LIONS over Rams
Patriots over TITANS
Falcons over CHIEFS
VIKINGS over Jaguars
Redskins over SAINTS
*TEXANS over Dolphins*
PACKERS over 49ers
CARDINALS over Seahawks
Panthers over BUCCANEERS
BRONCOS over Steelers
RAVENS over Bengals
RAIDERS over Chiefs

And my predictions. Wild Cards have asterisks:

AFC
East
Patriots
Jets*
Bills
Dolphins
North
Ravens
Steelers
Bengals
Browns
South
Texans
Titans
Colts
Jaguars
West
Broncos
Raiders*
Chargers
Chiefs

Wild Card Round
Jets over RAVENS
PATRIOTS over Raiders
Divisional Round
TEXANS over Jets
BRONCOS over Patriots
AFC Championship
TEXANS over Broncos

NFC
East
Giants
Cowboys*
Eagles
Redskins
North
Packers
Bears*
Lions
Vikings
South
Falcons
Saints
Panthers
Buccaneers
West
49ers
Seahawks
Cardinals
Rams

Wild Card Round
GIANTS over Cowboys
Bears over FALCONS
Diisional Round
PACKERS over Giants
Bears over 49ERS
NFC Championship
PACKERS over Bears

SUPERBOWL
Packers over Texans

MVP- Ray Rice, Ravens
Offensive Player- Jay Cutler, Bears
Defensive Player- Darrelle Revis, Jets
Comeback Player- Peyton Manning, Broncos
Offensie Rookie- Russell Wilson, Seahawks
Defensive Rookie- Chandler Jones, Patriots

2011 NFL Mock Draft First Round

I'm no Kiper, McShay, or Mayock, but like many others I like to make a mock draft. It will probably be mostly wrong (although I have some confidence in my top 8). I don't predict trades- if I get the player on the right team or at the right pick I'll be happy. Phil Taylor, the DE from Baylor, I have dropping out of the 1st round, and teams will try to trade up with NE to get him with the 33rd pick, although if the Pats go OL/QB as I have them doing, they could easily take Taylor themselves.

Pk	Team	Player	Pos.	School
1	Panthers	C. Newton	QB	Auburn
2	Broncos	V. Miller	OLB	Texas A&M
3	Bills	M. Dareus	DT	Alabama
4	Bengals	A.J. Green	WR	Georgia
5	Cardinals	B. Gabbert	QB	Missouri
6	Browns	J. Jones	WR	Alabama
7	49ers	P. Peterson	CB	LSU
8	Titans	N. Fairley	DT	Auburn
9	Cowboys	A. Castonzo	OT	Boston Col.
10	Redskins	J. Locker	QB	Washington
11	Texans	J. Smith	CB	Colorado
12	Vikings	R. Quinn	DE	UNC
13	Lions	P. Amukamara	CB	Nebraska
14	Rams	T. Smith	OT	USC
15	Dolphins	C. Jordan	DE	California
16	Jaguars	A. Dalton	QB	TCU
17	Patriots	M. Pouncey	C	Florida
18	Chargers	J.J. Watt	DE	Wisconsin
19	Giants	G. Carimi	OT	Wisconsin
20	Buccaneers	C. Liuget	DT	Illinois
21	Chiefs	D. Bowers	DE	Clemson
22	Colts	N. Solder	OT	Colorado
23	Eagles	A. Smith	DE	Missouri
24	Saints	M. Ingram	RB	Alabama
25	Seahawks	C. Ponder	QB	Florida St.
26	Ravens	A. Williams	CB	Texas
27	Falcons	C. Heyward	DE	Ohio State
28	Patriots	R. Mallett	QB	Arkansas
29	Bears	R. Kerrigan	DE	Purdue
30	Jets	A. Ayers	OLB	UCLA
31	Steelers	D. Watkins	OG	Baylor
32	Packers	R. Williams	RB	Virginia Tech

Super Bowl XLV NFL Pick and Absurd Prop Bets

All season long I've been making picks for NFL games on who I think will win, regardless of gambling odds. I will do that here, but since it is the biggest day in gambling, I'll also include what I think will happen based on the odds, and how I'd go on some of the ridiculous prop bets.

That being said, the pick, to win:

Green Bay Packers over Pittsburgh Steelers

I actually think it won't be that close. If I had to guess a score, I'd go 31-21.

Now to the gambling. All odds are based on Bodog.com

The line for the game is Green Bay -3, altho I've seen it in other places at Green Bay -2.5. Since I have Green Bay in a blowout, I'm going with Green Bay -3

From here on out I'll be picking a lot of these as if they were even odds, just for simplicity's sake.

National Anthem Over/Under 1:54. Christina Aguilera is singing the anthem. The best comparison is her anthem performance at the 2010 NBA Finals Game 7. Starting at 0:41 and ending at 2:36, clocking in right at the over at 1:55. Nerves shouldn't be a factor causing her to speed up, Aguilera has performed in front of massive crowds before. And she may take this opportunity to show an even wider range during the anthem than she did at the basketball game. I'm taking the Over 1:54

The result of the opening coin toss. This is just a random guess. I'll take Heads

The winner of the opening coin toss. There is probably a way to look at what the Steelers have picked in the past (they are technically the road team) and then either double my winnings or hedge my bets with the last one. I don't care that much. Steelers

Team to score first. I have the Packers scoring a lot more often than the Steelers, so I'll go Packers

The first score of the game. The choices are either TD or FG/Safety. I'll go with FG/Safety (and probably a FG)

Will there be a score in the first 7:30. I'm going to say both teams come out a little cold, so No Score

Pittsburgh Steelers team score over/under 21. I swear I did not look at this before I picked them to score 21. Since I can't take a push, I'll say maybe they score a late meaningless FG, and take the Over

Green Bay Packers team score over/under 24. Over

Steelers first half points over/under 11.5. Under

Packers first half points over/under 12. Over

Team to receive the opening kickoff. Steelers

Let's get to some of the stranger ones

Pittsburgh Steelers Points Scored -7.5 over Blake Griffin Rebounds vs. Miami Heat. I have the Steelers with 21 points, so will Griffin grab 14 or more rebounds? Probably. Griffin +7.5

Larger winning margin: Super Bowl or Magic @ Celtics. I'll go Super Bowl

How many times Fox shows Cowboys owner Jerry Jones over/under 2.5. It's Jones' stadium, and it'll be the Over

Over/under Favre mentions 2.5 Over

Over/under Lockout mentions 1.5 Over

Will any player do the Lambeau Leap? Yes

Who will be holding the Lombardi Trophy on the cover of USA Today on Monday? Aaron Rodgers

Conference Championship NFL Picks

Last week I went 2-2, getting both NFC games right and both AFC games wrong. That put me at 5-3 for the playoffs. Today:

Jets over STEELERS

Packers over BEARS

Divisional Round NFL Picks

Last week, like most of the predicting universe, I went 3-1. While I missed the start of this first game, it doesn't matter because I picked the game last week, with only 1 change:

PATRIOTS over Jets

Ravens over STEELERS

BEARS over Seahawks

Packers over FALCONS

Wildcard Round NFL Picks

We start fresh in the playoffs, after finishing 131-106 for the regular season. Picks are straight up, not against the spread. Home teams in CAPS.

Saints over SEAHAWKS

Jets over COLTS

Ravens over CHIEFS

Packers over EAGLES

That's right, I'm going with all 4 road teams. For the record, my pre-postseason picks for the rest of the playoffs:

DIVISIONAL ROUND:

PATRIOTS over Jets

Ravens over STEELERS

Saints over BEARS

Packers over FALCONS

CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND:

Ravens over PATRIOTS

SAINTS over Packers

SUPER BOWL:

Saints over Ravens

We'll see...

Week 16 NFL Picks

Week 16 picks below. I went 6-8 last week, and I've started this week 1-1, putting me at 123-100 for the season. For some reason, I randomly missed last week's Broncos/Raiders game, so it does not count. Again, picks are for the win, not against the spread.

Here we go (home teams are in CAPS):

 

Jets over BEARS

Patriots over BILLS

Ravens over BROWNS

CHIEFS over Titans

RAMS over 49ers

Lions over DOLPHINS

JAGUARS over Redskins

Chargers over BENGALS

Texans over BRONCOS

Colts over RAIDERS

Giants over PACKERS

BUCCANEERS over Seahawks

EAGLES over Vikings

Saints over FALCONS

Thursday and Friday NFL Picks

I'll do my full post of picks Sunday morning but for the early games:

STEELERS over Panthers

Cowboys over CARDINALS

Week 15 NFL Picks

Week 15 picks below. I went 11-5 last week, putting me at 116-91 for the season. I missed this Thursday's Chargers/49ers game (thanks CivPro), so it will only be 15 picks this week. Again, picks are for the win, not against the spread.

Here we go (home teams are in CAPS):

Browns over BENGALS

COWBOYS over Redskins

Texans over TITANS

COLTS over Jaguars

RAMS over Chiefs

DOLPHINS over Bills

Eagles over GIANTS

BUCCANEERS over Lions

Cardinals over PANTHERS

Saints over RAVENS

Falcons over SEAHAWKS

STEELERS over Jets

PATRIOTS over Packers

Bears over VIKINGS

Week 14 NFL Picks

Week 14 picks below. I went 10-6 last week, putting me at 105-86 for the season. Again, picks are for the win, not against the spread.

Here we go (home teams are in CAPS):

Colts over TITANS

Browns over BILLS

Packers over LIONS

Giants over VIKINGS

STEELERS over Bengals

Buccaneers over REDSKINS

Falcons over PANTHERS
JAGUARS over Raiders

SAINTS over Rams

49ERS over Seahawks

JETS over Dolphins

BEARS over Patriots

Broncos over CARDINALS

CHARGERS over Chiefs

Eagles over COWBOYS

Ravens over TEXANS

Week 13 NFL Picks

Week 13 picks below. I went 10-6 last week, putting me at 95-80 for the season. Again, picks are for the win, not against the spread.

Here we go (home teams are in CAPS):

EAGLES over Texans

Saints over BENGALS

Bears over LIONS

PACKERS over 49ers

TITANS over Jaguars

CHIEFS over Broncos

Browns over DOLPHINS

Bills over VIKINGS

GIANTS over Redskins

CHARGERS over Raiders

COLTS over Cowboys

Rams over CARDINALS

SEAHAWKS over Panthers

BUCCANEERS over Falcons

Steelers over RAVENS

Jets over PATRIOTS

Week 12 NFL Picks

The Thanksgiving Triple Header this week! Week 12 picks below. I went 9-7 last week, putting me at 85-74 for the season. Again, picks are for the win, not against the spread.

Here we go (home teams are in CAPS):

Patriots over LIONS

Saints over COWBOYS

JETS over Bengals

Packers over FALCONS

Steelers over BILLS

BROWNS over Panthers

GIANTS over Jaguars

REDSKINS over Vikings

TEXANS over Titans

RAIDERS over Dolphins

Chiefs over SEAHAWKS

Eagles over BEARS

BRONCOS over Rams

RAVENS over Buccaneers

COLTS over Chargers

49ers over CARDINALS

Week 11 NFL Picks

Thursday night games continue, and so due Thursday picks. Week 11 picks below. I went 6-8 last week, putting me at 76-67 for the season. Again, picks are for the win, not against the spread.

Here we go (home teams are in CAPS):

DOLPHINS over Bears

BENGALS over Bills

Lions over COWBOYS

TITANS over Redskins

CHIEFS over Cardinals

Packers over VIKINGS

JETS over Texans

STEELERS over Raiders

Ravens over PANTHERS

JAGUARS over Browns

49ERS over Buccaneers

SAINTS over Seahawks

Falcons over RAMS

Colts over PATRIOTS

Giants over EAGLES

CHARGERS over Broncos

Week 10 NFL Picks

With Thursday games beginning tonight, time to start making picks earlier in the week. Week 10 picks below. I went 8-5 last week, putting me at 70-59 for the season. Again, picks are for the win, not against the spread.

Here we go (home team in CAPS):
Ravens over FALCONS
Lions over BILLS
BEARS over Vikings
Jets over BROWNS
COLTS over Bengals
Titans over DOLPHINS
BUCCANEERS over Panthers
Texans over JAGUARS
Chiefs over BRONCOS
GIANTS over Cowboys
CARDINALS over Seahawks
49ERS over Rams
STEELERS over Patriots
Eagles over REDSKINS

Week 9 NFL Picks

Week 9 picks below. I went 7-6 last week, putting me at 62-54 for the season. Again, picks are for the win, not against the spread.

Here we go (home team in CAPS):

FALCONS over Buccaneers

BILLS over Bears

Patriots over BROWNS

Jets over LIONS

VIKINGS over Cardinals

Saints over PANTHERS

RAVENS over Dolphins

TEXANS over Chargers

Giants over SEAHAWKS

Chiefs over RAIDERS

Colts over EAGLES

PACKERS over Cowboys

Steelers over BENGALS

Week 8 NFL Picks

Week 8 picks below. I went 7-7 last week, putting me at 55-48 for the season. Again, picks are for the win, not against the spread.

Here we go (home team in CAPS):

Dolphins over BENGALS

Jaguars over COWBOYS

Redskins over LIONS
CHIEFS over Bills

RAMS over Panthers

JETS over Packers

Broncos over 49ers (SF is "home team" but game is in London)

Titans over CHARGERS

CARDINALS over Buccaneers

PATRIOTS over Vikings

Seahawks over RAIDERS

SAINTS over Steelers

COLTS over Texans

Week 7 NFL Picks

Week 7 picks below. I went 8-6 last week, putting me at 48-41 for the season. Again, picks are for the win, not against the spread.

Here we go (home team in CAPS):

FALCONS over Bengals

BEARS over Redskins

Eagles over TITANS

CHIEFS over Jaguars

DOLPHINS over Steelers

SAINTS over Browns

Rams over BUCCANEERS

PANTHERS over 49ers

RAVENS over Bills

SEAHAWKS over Cardinals

BRONCOS over Raiders

Patriots over CHARGERS

PACKERS over Vikings

COWBOYS over Giants

Week 6 NFL Picks

Week 6 picks below. I went a dreadful 6-8 last week, putting me at 40-35 for the season. I also got knocked out of the suicide pool. Again, picks are for the win, not against the spread.

Here we go (home team in CAPS):

 

BEARS over Seahawks

PACKERS over Dolphins

Chargers over RAMS

Ravens over PATRIOTS

GIANTS over Lions

Falcons over EAGLES

STEELERS over Browns

Saints over BUCCANEERS

TEXANS over Chiefs

49ERS over Raiders

Jets over BRONCOS

Cowboys over VIKINGS

Colts over REDSKINS

Titans over JAGUARS